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#37

Currently Sagarin has us as the second best team in the B10 West although there is no significant difference between us, Nebraska, Iowa and Minnesota.
 
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we are back to the old "we can win every game on the schedule or lose every (FBS) game on the schedule." I find that somehow comforting.
 
I like the Sagarin ratings and want to track them week-by-week this year to determine our chances of winning each game.

Going into last week's games, the preseason ratings predicted a 4-8 season (that assumes 2.65 points for home-field advantage and the Illinois game is neutral).

After just one week of play, and granted the ratings are funky early on, we're now predicted to go 7-4 the rest of the way (with the one win in the bag already, that's quite a dramatic turnaround). That also assumes a loss to Michigan I believe, where the 2.65 HFA gives them about a half-point victory.
 
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