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OT: Hey @EvanstonCat are you okay?

DaCat said:
The Wuhan coronavirus is spreading rapidly and I'm seeing some scary reports of its transmission rate. Already they've quarantined entire cities and have Wuhan in a lockdown reminiscent of apocalyptic movies. @EvanstonCat hope you and your family are safe.
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On a related note, I haven’t seen a post in a while from one of my favorite posters who lives in the Nashville area but often works for extended periods of time overseas. It’s been so long, I am struggling to remember his handle. Either that or I am suffering from early onset Alzheimer’s. Anybody have any info?
 
Hungry Jack said:
Where is ECat? Shanghai?
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I believe so.

I've heard speculation that the virus has already spread to Shanghai and other cities in China, not to mention worldwide. The hospital in Wuhan are turning away patients. They're trying to build a new hospital in literally days.
 
corbi296 said:
On a related note, I haven’t seen a post in a while from one of my favorite posters who lives in the Nashville area but often works for extended periods of time overseas. It’s been so long, I am struggling to remember his handle. Either that or I am suffering from early onset Alzheimer’s. Anybody have any info?
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I think you're talking about @GlideCat whose posts I also liked.
 
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DaCat said:
I think you're talking about @GlideCat whose posts I also liked.
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It’s not Glidecat, although I agree with you about him as a poster. I am really miffed I can’t remember his handle. He was active on the Rant Board as well. I hope he is Ok because I can’t recall seeing a post from him in at least six months.
 
corbi296 said:
It’s not Glidecat, although I agree with you about him as a poster. I am really miffed I can’t remember his handle. He was active on the Rant Board as well. I hope he is Ok because I can’t recall seeing a post from him in at least six months.
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Everything in your description sounds exactly like GlideCat. The only other poster I know of who lives in the Nashville area is KaTNap.Glide frequently spends a lot of time working outside of the US. Anyway, I believe that Glide is alive and well because I see him occasionally posting on Facebook.
 
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DaCat said:
I think you're talking about @GlideCat whose posts I also liked.
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I also believe that he is referring to Glide, but just has the names confused.Glide seems to be alive and well, seeing him on Facebook, but I have no idea if he is currently inside the United States.
 
DaCat said:
The Wuhan coronavirus is spreading rapidly and I'm seeing some scary reports of its transmission rate. Already they've quarantined entire cities and have Wuhan in a lockdown reminiscent of apocalyptic movies. @EvanstonCat hope you and your family are safe.
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Thanks for the shout out. I’m not even in China right now. Enjoying the beaches of Phu Quoc island in Vietnam. We are thinking of changing of tickets to stay an extra week or so to see if they can get things under control or things get clearer. Option value in case things turn into Raccoon City. Maybe check out Dalat. School break was extended to Feb 17, so why the heck not?
 
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Yeah man, no need to rush back. It looks like the coronavirus outbreak will get worse before it gets better. I was supposed to go on a business trip to Asia next week but decided to cancel. With the outbreak happening over the holidays and now with the Chinese New Year travelers, the spread of the virus seems to have accelerated.
 
DaCat said:
Yeah man, no need to rush back. It looks like the coronavirus outbreak will get worse before it gets better. I was supposed to go on a business trip to Asia next week but decided to cancel. With the outbreak happening over the holidays and now with the Chinese New Year travelers, the spread of the virus seems to have accelerated.
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Below is a link to some of my ramblings regarding the virus from over on the Rant Board. Need to update though the number of infected is now, just one day later up to over 6,000.

Here is the plane landed here near my house in Anchorage last night carrying diplomats and U.S. Citizens being evacuated from Wuhan.

Pictured is the plane as it sat on the tarmac at the airport here in Anchorage, Alaska. While it was being refueled the evacuees went through customs and underwent medical tests to determine if they would be allowed to continue on to California. Any who were not cleared would have remained here in Anchorage and been transferred to a hospital where preparations had already been made for their care in a portion of the hospital designed for infectious disease patients.

Apparently one individual was denied boarding in Wuhan who had a fever. All were allowed to reboard in Anchorage although the planned flight to a civilian airport (Ontario) in California was changed to a military base just before the airplane departed from Anchorage. As of this moment all remain in quarantine on the military base there in California for at least three days.

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And FWIW below are photos from my prior landing at an airport in Hubei Province where Wuhan is located. All major cities in Hubei are on lockdown and all regularly scheduled air traffic in the province has been cancelled. (ironically, the reason I took the photo was to photograph the first responders seen boarding the plane just after I had left it. You can see them entering the aircraft in order to assist a passenger who remained on board slumped over in his seat.)

There are now, at over 6,000 infected, already more reported cases of this Coronavirus in China than there were total in China from the 2002-2003 SARS outbreak.

China has just cancelled all group travel in China and the US Government has advised against all but essential travel to anywhere in China.

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https://northwestern.forums.rivals....ina-arriving-now-in-alaska.49022/#post-703891
 
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I just heard they have a confirmed case in India. To me, the squalor of India will be like a petri dish for the virus
 
Alaskawildkat said:
Below is a link to some of my ramblings regarding the virus from over on the Rant Board. Need to update though the number of infected is now, just one day later up to over 6,000.

Here is the plane landed here near my house in Anchorage last night carrying diplomats and U.S. Citizens being evacuated from Wuhan.

Pictured is the plane as it sat on the tarmac at the airport here in Anchorage, Alaska. While it was being refueled the evacuees went through customs and underwent medical tests to determine if they would be allowed to continue on to California. Any who were not cleared would have remained here in Anchorage and been transferred to a hospital where preparations had already been made for their care in a portion of the hospital designed for infectious disease patients.

Apparently one individual was denied boarding in Wuhan who had a fever. All were allowed to reboard in Anchorage although the planned flight to a civilian airport (Ontario) in California was changed to a military base just before the airplane departed from Anchorage. As of this moment all remain in quarantine on the military base there in California for at least three days.

IMG_6331_zpsbtfozbmg.jpg


China has just cancelled all group travel in China and the US Government has advised against all but essential travel to anywhere in China.

IMG_3695_zpsu65p6mbf.jpg


IMG_3692_zpstqfpunyn.jpg







https://northwestern.forums.rivals....ina-arriving-now-in-alaska.49022/#post-703891
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NUCat320 has posted a link over on the rant board that offers some interesting details and photos relating to the interior of the above pictured cargo plane that was used to transport the evacuees out of Wuhan. Apparently the windowless 747 Cargo plane was used because the upper level where the pilots were could be sealed off from the passengers - along with having its own separate recirculating air supply.

Interestingly the pilots did not get off the plane either in Wuhan or Anchorage.

(I’d post the link here but don’t know how using an iPhone )
 
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As to the evacuees who flew through Anchorage to the military base in California, word now that they are being retained for a full 14 days rather than the 3 originally projected.

As noted on the other board, just received this update from a friend whose place is over a thousand miles distant from Wuhan on an island province at the southern tip of China:

" .... roads are becoming more and more vacant, beach also. our complex is in lock down.

"Feb 1 12:00pm The number of new cases each day is between 1200 and 2000. Total number of cases now is over 11,000, most of these in the last 10 days. By comparison, SARS had a total number of cases in the 9 months that it was prevalent of about 8,100. Only 8 cases in the US and no deaths . there have been 259 deaths with this virus (774 with SARS). So, it appears this virus is much more contagious but the death rate is much lower.

"Management backed off shutting off the elevators but our complex is in lockdown. No one can enter or leave the premises. And that is what they call a “bummer”. We have plenty of food but being cooped up here, when the beach is beckoning, is going to be pretty boring.

"We had planned with close friends to meet in Guilin, China on March 16 and travel to some of China’s famous sites for two weeks but this virus issue is taking its toll and I had to call them yesterday to cancel. There is no way things will be settled by then.

"Jan 31 4:00pm
We were out on the beach at noon today and received a phone call from our living complex management. The indicated that our four buildings (25 stories each) would go into lockdown this afternoon."
 
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So some news on this end from a French doctor in Shanghai reporting to the ex-patriate community:

The 6 important points of today for the CoroV Flu 2/2/20:

A / FIGURES & TRENDS:
1 Roughly: 14K cases and 328 deaths (i.e. 2.3% of cases).
Note that depending on the update time produced by the authorities, the figures may vary slightly, but only the trend is important.
2 Current trend: linear trend (around 20% per day) and not exponential.
3 Two China: Hubei / Out of Hubei (joint analysis with my colleague Carole Gabay)
- Hubei: very significant surge with nearly 2k cases yesterday (1,921 new cases versus 1,347 yesterday) bringing the number of cases to 9,074 (64%)
- Out of Hubei: “Breaking News” in my opinion since for the first time new cases outside Hubei drop: 681 versus 816 yesterday. That's excellent news
-With Carole, we are producing a world premiere iconography (finished 10 minutes ago), to understand the apparent trend reversal today.
4 Shanghai (and Beijing) very little affected with around 177 cases. The evolution of the figures in Shanghai is explained by the first returns and will continue (66, 81, 96, 112, 128 and 177 today). Nevertheless, figures very low in proportion
(+/- 20 M inhabitants): 1 case per 100,000 individuals !!
5 At the World level: 120 cases abroad (25 countries)

SO “WHAT’UP FOR MY BUSINESS” & FOR HOW LONG:

-The experts envisage an epidemic peak around D6: linear rise to 20%, effectiveness of 2 weeks of "country freezing" corresponding to the incubation period with a peak around 30 k patients around February 9.
-Very many unknowns remain: temperature, effectiveness of measures limiting dissemination, identification of the vector animal, control of a situation extremely tense at the epicenter (and we must salute this population which is truly on the front line), existence suitable antivirals (Tamiflu type for influenza or triple therapy for Hiv apparently ineffective), viral mutation, validity of the data provided, etc.
-As a result, prevention, patience and caution towards forecasts (+++)
-At the time of SARS, we had spent around 8 weeks on “alert”

Dr Guillaume ZAGURY
Public Health & Innovations Specialist
2/2 / 2020.
 
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Also:

As of 24:00 on February 1, Shanghai had eliminated 374 suspected cases and found 177 confirmed cases. Of the confirmed cases, 89 were male and 88 were female; the oldest was 88 years old and the youngest was 7 years old; 109 had a history of living or traveling in Hubei, 4 had a history of living or traveling outside Hubei, and 62 had a history of contact with related confirmed cases. 2 cases had no contact history in Hubei; 74 cases came to Shanghai from other regions and 103 cases came from Shanghai.

Should be noted that vast majority of fatalities are with individuals 60+ (though that may not give people comfort on this board) and those with pre-existing illnesses. Many of the younger “patients” experience relatively mild (flu-like) symptoms only and have almost 100% recovery. Kind of like the flu (and less deadly vs. the Avian Flu).

There’s a reason why there are almost no fatalities outside of China (and much lower rate outside of Hubei). It’s because there aren’t many 70+ year olds flying around. Unless the people who are flying around start infecting people on the ground, not likely to see the same issue as Hubei in other areas in and outside of China - unlikely given how freaked out everyone is right now.

An article by the post to help put it into perspective:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/heal...tory.html?from=singlemessage&isappinstalled=0
 
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