With minny and michigan doing better, our ncaa hopes ride on the michigan game. Losing 3 out of the last 4 is putting pressure as feli addressed earlier. LouV was premature claiming we stamped our spot for the ncaa with the wisconsin win. We still need 3 wins to get better than equal chances of dancing. Looking like nit unless scottie comes back.
I agree with you that Lou and others are ahead of the gun bc NU can still finish 8-10 and honestly, as a fan who has sat in the same seats at Welsh-Ryan since it opened in '83 (I was 13 then) I have 31 seasons full of reasons to be full of doubt.
NU is now solidly in the second tier of the BigTen with Michigan State 8-5, NU 8-5, Minnesota 7-6 and Michigan 7-6.
The good news is that most brackets have all 4 of the second tier teams, assuming they finish .500 in the BigTen making the NCAA.
But that's getting ahead of ourselves, I really want the double bye for the BigTen tourney. So lets take a look at the four teams battling it out for 4th place because its not likely a team in the top 3 will drop back.
Michigan State has the toughest schedule: At Purdue, Nebraska, Wisconsin, At Illinois, At Maryland.
Then Minnesota: Michigan, at Maryland, Penn State, Nebraska, at Wisconsin.
Michigan and NU are pretty similar but Michigan's is a little harder.
Michigan has At Minnesota, At Rutgers, Purdue, At NU, Nebraska.
NU has Rutgers, at Illinois, at Indiana, Michigan, Purdue.
Assuming that every team wins games against the teams they are ahead of in the rankings:
Michigan State 2-3 and 10 - 8 overall.
Minnesota: 3-2 and 10 -8 overall.
Michigan: 2-3 and 9-9 overall.
NU: 4-1 and 12-6 overall.
Of course the odds of this happening are not that high but this why most people have NU in the tourney. NU has games to give and a schedule that looks favorable on paper. Of course, the reality is that NU is playing down its leading scorer and becomes a middle of the pack team without him.
I guess my point is that if the Michigan games determines whether the Cats make the tourney or not, the wheels will be off the bus.