Opening Odds vs. Duke
- Thread starter No Chores
- Start date
I'd relish the day(s) when NU is favored by 14 or more every game.
Me too.
NU seems to play better with a chip on their shoulder. I don't have a clue what their record is when favored. But they have a better winning percentage on the road than at home. From the 2009 season through Thursdays game, NU is 30-24 at home against FBS opponents, and 30-17 on the road. Clearly NU doesn't have a "home field advantage". The Fighting Fitzes do VERY well in "hostile" road environments.
-3 home team = even teams. Much like last week was until game day. Let’s tough out a 2-0!
Ugh did not make the travel squad to Purdue. (I believe due to upper body injury) However, he will be available on Saturday, hence the 'Cats are minus 3.
Exactly how I see the game. Equal teams on a neutral field.
Similar talent levels (or perhaps a slight nod to us), but it all comes down to execution.
Will be a harder game than the Purdue game imo because Duke is less error-prone and better disciplined than Purdue.
Well, if Fitz scheduled pushovers like Collins then maybe that will happen. Even Akron, perhaps our weakest opponent, was in a bowl.
No made the trip, but did not dress. Lower body issue sustained getting off the bus, but should be ready for the BIG schedule. The guys I'm really concerned about are Moar and Dang. Like Vault they appear to be MIA.
...but Duke has Jones. I have heard that NU may have found some kryptonite to keep those superpowers in check....but Purdue has Brohm ...
Our weakest opponent is likely Illinois. And if not them, then probably Rutgers.
I get the feeling that the wheels may come off for Minnesota pretty quickly once B1G play starts.
New Mexico State looks really, really bad in their first two games. And Wyoming who shellacked NMSU got steamrolled by Washington State. We shall see.
Akron got smoked by Penn State 52-0 to open last year, then 41-14 by Iowa State in the third game, then absolutely obliterated by FAU 50-3 in the Boca Raton Bowl.
Why are we worried about them again?
Because we worry. It’s just our thing.
are we really starting to worry about Akron 12 days in advance
It is bizarre just how difficult it is for NU fans to comprehend that we have a real live, good football team.
I believe it. But, to paraphrase you from another thread, as long as “#18 is on this series count bs,” I think some fretting is reasonable.
Wait, I thought I was supposed to be enamored with TJ Green based on his Purdue performance...
true, but . . . we really don't know much about him. we don't even know how old he is!
From a bettor perspective, if I had to lay it today, I'd take Duke +3 or even Duke moneyline. I certainly won't since I don't bet against a team I'm rooting for, but it's the apparently sharp play here (when I get hammered for this after NU wins, I remind you that consistently-winning "sharps" win only about 53% of the time).
The teams are essentially power rated evenly on a neutral field, so a 3 point line is pretty much dead on. Despite 83% of the early bets on NU (per SportsInsights), the line hasn't moved off the initial posted number, which means public perception is not driving the number up to 3.5, where sharps would pound the underdog. I'll take a +3 dog in a coinflip game where the public is all over the favorite almost as a rule.
Now I know why I was always called "square" in elementary school by the kids who would take my lunch money.
Believe me, it would be those eventually becoming squares who would be taking the sharps' money.
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