2019. Book it.
When did we get our first 2016 commits? I'm also a little nervous that of the targets for 2017 seemed interested (based on 247).
Rap committed March 2015, and Brown May. Benson was last.
I think you make some good points.
This year demonstrates that a consistently decent team, not a great team, can do well in a transition year for the Big Ten. NU is decent, but inconsistent.
When Collins has four years of recruits on board NU will look very different. Upperclassmen of BMac, Pardon, Falzon and Law and underclassmen of Rap and Bennet. To name only a few. And underclassmen on par or better than the current group.
And then every year an equally talented team. Those teams will be capable of playing at a high level consistently and will make runs at times through the conference.
Whether they make the tournament every year will depend on recruiting. But they will make the tournament. And my argument is that is as difficult to accomplish at NU as making the Rose Bowl. Harder, in fact, than making the Rose Bowl at another Big Ten school.
If we don't make it by 2019, I would be very disappointed.
On the face of it, I had thought NU was turning the corner on support of (that is really getting behind) its major sports teams. Like Stanford, for example (I mean, what do they have to lose by it, they're the best school in the country after HYP). In spite of lip service, I'm no longer sure that is true. This is certainly only my imagination, but I picture a cabal of skinny, pasty white professors in bad suits (who actually are not the best in their respective fields) meeting weekly to figure out how to keep the administration in line with their eventual plan to get rid of football and basketball once and for all. It may be impossible for NU to field a great basketball team. But why?I agree with much of what you say, but can't agree that making the NCAA tourney is as difficult as making the Rose Bowl. You need a much larger group of good players to make a top-quality football team than a basketball team, which can be tourney-bound with 2-3 studs and a decent cast of supporting players. The historic ineptitude of the football team leading up to the Rose Bowl year, probably even worse than the basketball team's performance during that era, made the Rose Bowl appearance nothing short of a miracle. And even then, we wouldn't have made the Rose Bowl without Michigan's upset of Ohio State. It also helped that we didn't have to play a championship game as there was none at that time. If we'd played Ohio State for the championship, we might have won — or not. The relatively greater difficulty of turning a football team around vs. basketball makes Northwestern's epic NCAA tourney drought even harder to understand. But I think if we do finally do lift up our team enough to break into the tourney, it's entirely possible we will be a tourney contender many years after that. On the other hand, I think it's entirely possible that NU won't make another Rose Bowl appearance in my lifetime.
By "it," I assume you mean the NCAA tournament.
In some ways, I don't even worry about the NCAAs. I'm concerned about the NIT. I'm worried CC will run into much of the same problem Carmody had that so many want to overlook.
You gotta have an NIT on your resume somewhere early in your tenure. You can only sell vapor, hope and "we just need one star player" for so long.
Get an NIT this year, next year or (God forbid) the year after and you have a fighting chance. Miss out and we're looking at SSDD.
Yeah, NCAA (I was responding to another poster in the chain).
I'm in agreement with you on most of this, especially in regards to making the NIT as a short term goal. As good as a recruiter as Collins seemingly is, at some point the program needs on court results. This was the first year I expected a postseason birth, but without depth (on the way), the 'Cats couldn't really afford injuries to key pieces like Law and Olah. Hiring Collins was, as Hdhntr used to say, a "point B to C" move. To get to point C (aka: NCAA), NU first needs to get back to point B (aka: NIT) fairly soon.
All things considered, I do feel like we're in pretty good shape at the moment. I'd like to think CC will only get better on sidelines as time progresses.
I agree with much of what you say, but can't agree that making the NCAA tourney is as difficult as making the Rose Bowl. You need a much larger group of good players to make a top-quality football team than a basketball team, which can be tourney-bound with 2-3 studs and a decent cast of supporting players. The historic ineptitude of the football team leading up to the Rose Bowl year, probably even worse than the basketball team's performance during that era, made the Rose Bowl appearance nothing short of a miracle. And even then, we wouldn't have made the Rose Bowl without Michigan's upset of Ohio State. It also helped that we didn't have to play a championship game as there was none at that time. If we'd played Ohio State for the championship, we might have won — or not. The relatively greater difficulty of turning a football team around vs. basketball makes Northwestern's epic NCAA tourney drought even harder to understand. But I think if we do finally do lift up our team enough to break into the tourney, it's entirely possible we will be a tourney contender many years after that. On the other hand, I think it's entirely possible that NU won't make another Rose Bowl appearance in my lifetime.
NU had to win the conference to get to the RB in 95 (and go undefeated in conference to do that). To get to the NCAA, they only have to get to the top half of the conference and potentially can lose half of their conference games. Much tougher to get to the RB. That said, now with the playoffs and conference championship, it potentially only it may only take getting to the conference championship to get there.I agree with much of what you say, but can't agree that making the NCAA tourney is as difficult as making the Rose Bowl. You need a much larger group of good players to make a top-quality football team than a basketball team, which can be tourney-bound with 2-3 studs and a decent cast of supporting players. The historic ineptitude of the football team leading up to the Rose Bowl year, probably even worse than the basketball team's performance during that era, made the Rose Bowl appearance nothing short of a miracle. And even then, we wouldn't have made the Rose Bowl without Michigan's upset of Ohio State. It also helped that we didn't have to play a championship game as there was none at that time. If we'd played Ohio State for the championship, we might have won — or not. The relatively greater difficulty of turning a football team around vs. basketball makes Northwestern's epic NCAA tourney drought even harder to understand. But I think if we do finally do lift up our team enough to break into the tourney, it's entirely possible we will be a tourney contender many years after that. On the other hand, I think it's entirely possible that NU won't make another Rose Bowl appearance in my lifetime.