or what Warren and the rest over at B1G HQ should be strategizing for (along with Fox).
The B1G is in great shape if they stand pat at 16 , (barring any additional moves by the SEC), and would be ecstatic if they finally are able to convince ND (due to the quickly changing CFB landscape of having 2 dominant conferences) to join the conference with 1 additional school (top choices would likely be UNC or Stanford - the Domers probably will have a hand in who gets picked); Stanford really only being on the list because they are a traditional rival for ND).
While limiting it those 18 schools may maximize payoffs for the near term, it's kinda an unwieldy number with the LA schools being relegated to a far away outpost.
To offset that, can go up to 20 schools by adding Washington and Oregon, but apparently those 2 are seen as "tweeners" by the B1G FO when it comes to adding revenue.
While this may seem counterintuitive, adding 6 more schools to bring the total to 24 may be the answer.
With 24 schools, can have 4 divisions (with mostly traditional geographic rivalries) of 6 schools with each school playing 5 teams from its own division, 6 teams from another division and 1 protected rivalry to make up a 12 game season schedule (so NO OOC games).
Atlantic
Rutgers
Maryland
Penn State
North Carolina
Notre Dame
?
Midwest
Ohio State
Michigan
Michigan State
Indiana
Purdue
?
Heartland
Northwestern
Illinois
Wisconsin
Iowa
Minnesota
Nebraska
Pacific
USC
UCLA
Stanford
Oregon
Washington
?
While geographically ND fits in with either the Midwest or Heartland division (would make things a lot easier), the Domers have long resisted being identified with that region, so they likely would insist on being in the Atlantic (where the most Domers fans live/live nearby and where they would get to continue playing against a couple of their former ACC colleagues).
The 3 realistic options out of the ACC for the 6th spot in the Atlantic would be UVA, Dook and UMiami.
Out of the 3, UMiami is the only traditional football power, but they have struggled in getting even close to what they once were.
While UMiami would further help open up the rich recruiting base that is the state of Florida, the Miami fan base isn't exactly big and they tend to be a fickle lot; plus UMiami would really be on an "island" by itself and a big part of the argument in expanding to as many as 24 schools is to have some sort of regional connection for each division.
That leaves it btwn UVA and Dook.
UVA has more the traditional profile of a B1G school - being the state flagship university, but while its men's BB program has had a certain level of national success, it's not Dook basketball.
Otoh, UVA's FB program has more potential to be consistently competitive (Virginia has a decent recruiting base) and would really secure the greater DC metro area for the B1G while also keep geographic continuity.
But as much as I despise Dook (while having a fondness for UVA), Dook BB is Dook BB and including UNC's biggest rival would likeky make them happier(?); but maybe the UNC fan base would love seeing Dook being relegated to 2nd tier status.
For the Pacific division - not really any compelling choices left, but the choice is probably btwn Arizona and Colorado w/ maybe an outside shot for Cal (altho 2 schools in the Bay area would be overkill).
AZ has the best program of all 3 in men's BB, but BB really isn't a driver in these decisions (otherwise, CBB blueblood and reigning national champ Kansas would have been snapped up), and maybe it would be best for the B1G to let the SEC have their choice of the AZ schools (more on that later).
Colorado has had the most success in FB, but that was decades ago and they have really struggled to even attain relevance in the PAC.
The biggest ? when it comes to the 6th member is for the Midwest division.
If the Domers were willing to head to a division that was a geographic fit, then you could stick them in the Heartland division and move Illinois over to the Midwest (this way, can then add both UVA and Dook to the Atlantic), but don't see that happening.
There really isn't any school that fits the B1G criteria close by, so this leaves additional geographic shuffling.
One option would be to add both UVA and Dook to the Atlantic and ship Rutgers to the Midwest (would no longer be wholly accurate, but then again, the B1G has long ceased in having 10 members).
Another option would be adding 2 more schools from the PAC with one of them being Colorado with the Buffs reuniting with the Huskers in the Heartland division and moving Illinois to the Midwest.
The latter of the 2 options is cleaner geographically, but think adding 2 ACC schools brings more to the table.
The B1G is in great shape if they stand pat at 16 , (barring any additional moves by the SEC), and would be ecstatic if they finally are able to convince ND (due to the quickly changing CFB landscape of having 2 dominant conferences) to join the conference with 1 additional school (top choices would likely be UNC or Stanford - the Domers probably will have a hand in who gets picked); Stanford really only being on the list because they are a traditional rival for ND).
While limiting it those 18 schools may maximize payoffs for the near term, it's kinda an unwieldy number with the LA schools being relegated to a far away outpost.
To offset that, can go up to 20 schools by adding Washington and Oregon, but apparently those 2 are seen as "tweeners" by the B1G FO when it comes to adding revenue.
While this may seem counterintuitive, adding 6 more schools to bring the total to 24 may be the answer.
With 24 schools, can have 4 divisions (with mostly traditional geographic rivalries) of 6 schools with each school playing 5 teams from its own division, 6 teams from another division and 1 protected rivalry to make up a 12 game season schedule (so NO OOC games).
Atlantic
Rutgers
Maryland
Penn State
North Carolina
Notre Dame
?
Midwest
Ohio State
Michigan
Michigan State
Indiana
Purdue
?
Heartland
Northwestern
Illinois
Wisconsin
Iowa
Minnesota
Nebraska
Pacific
USC
UCLA
Stanford
Oregon
Washington
?
While geographically ND fits in with either the Midwest or Heartland division (would make things a lot easier), the Domers have long resisted being identified with that region, so they likely would insist on being in the Atlantic (where the most Domers fans live/live nearby and where they would get to continue playing against a couple of their former ACC colleagues).
The 3 realistic options out of the ACC for the 6th spot in the Atlantic would be UVA, Dook and UMiami.
Out of the 3, UMiami is the only traditional football power, but they have struggled in getting even close to what they once were.
While UMiami would further help open up the rich recruiting base that is the state of Florida, the Miami fan base isn't exactly big and they tend to be a fickle lot; plus UMiami would really be on an "island" by itself and a big part of the argument in expanding to as many as 24 schools is to have some sort of regional connection for each division.
That leaves it btwn UVA and Dook.
UVA has more the traditional profile of a B1G school - being the state flagship university, but while its men's BB program has had a certain level of national success, it's not Dook basketball.
Otoh, UVA's FB program has more potential to be consistently competitive (Virginia has a decent recruiting base) and would really secure the greater DC metro area for the B1G while also keep geographic continuity.
But as much as I despise Dook (while having a fondness for UVA), Dook BB is Dook BB and including UNC's biggest rival would likeky make them happier(?); but maybe the UNC fan base would love seeing Dook being relegated to 2nd tier status.
For the Pacific division - not really any compelling choices left, but the choice is probably btwn Arizona and Colorado w/ maybe an outside shot for Cal (altho 2 schools in the Bay area would be overkill).
AZ has the best program of all 3 in men's BB, but BB really isn't a driver in these decisions (otherwise, CBB blueblood and reigning national champ Kansas would have been snapped up), and maybe it would be best for the B1G to let the SEC have their choice of the AZ schools (more on that later).
Colorado has had the most success in FB, but that was decades ago and they have really struggled to even attain relevance in the PAC.
The biggest ? when it comes to the 6th member is for the Midwest division.
If the Domers were willing to head to a division that was a geographic fit, then you could stick them in the Heartland division and move Illinois over to the Midwest (this way, can then add both UVA and Dook to the Atlantic), but don't see that happening.
There really isn't any school that fits the B1G criteria close by, so this leaves additional geographic shuffling.
One option would be to add both UVA and Dook to the Atlantic and ship Rutgers to the Midwest (would no longer be wholly accurate, but then again, the B1G has long ceased in having 10 members).
Another option would be adding 2 more schools from the PAC with one of them being Colorado with the Buffs reuniting with the Huskers in the Heartland division and moving Illinois to the Midwest.
The latter of the 2 options is cleaner geographically, but think adding 2 ACC schools brings more to the table.
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