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Very strange play from today's UTEP game.

Earlier this season, UTEP had a 100-yard touchdown return by a defensive lineman, they won their first ever game in the Eastern Time Zone, and now this. It has been a strange season. A player blocks a point after with his helmet, which knocks his helmet off. He runs towards the ball for a couple of seconds, then throws his hands up and gets out of the way, then his teammate scoops up the ball and returns it for 2 points. Then the refs talk about it for a few minutes, then throw a flag on him because he "participated" in the play after his helmet came off. The 2 points are waived off and FAU got to re-kick the PAT again to tie the game up.

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Being a UTEP fan, I watched this live at the same time as I was watching NU's 4th quarter. I was not a happy camper, but thankfully UTEP managed to score a field goal at the end of the game to win.

Post Game Ups and Downs

Because somebody complained there wasn’t a thread, here’s one: here are my post game ups, downs, and flats. I see more ups in this one, but since we’re already in a bad spot the “flats” are bad. Agree with me? Disagree? Have your own thoughts?

Up:
The pass rush: NU’s pass rush overall was really a problem for Maryland today. Lots of guys got in on the action and it was a big difference maker. I credit some of the blitz schemes as part of this too, which definitely caused a lot of problems. More of this please.

Aidan Hubbard as a potential 3-4 rush backer: liked the tackle he made in space after having discussed this here the other day.

LBs running downhill on the first half: very aggressive in the first half via the run and it worked out (until it didn’t, later). At least they got the upside of this strategy some today.

The running game and scheme with Sullivan: NU did a way better job on the ground orchestrating various positions to get numbers and advantages in the running game with Sullivan at QB. Big help!

The ball going to Malik Washington: he’s pretty good

AJ Hampton: he’s caught shit around here but he was an impact returner today

The flat:
Generally bad/confused/lost LB play: enough said

Coverage in general: yup, still pretty bad with major breakdowns at times

Jake as OC: while I think Jake is less part of the problem than many others and today he did some improved things (the touchdown pass to Hull was truly a wonderful play), there were also some times when we took less advantage of number opportunities than were available to us. Ultimately, I’d still like to see NU switch to a coordinator who more specializes an RPO, spread out style compared to Jake and his more pro style background. I don’t think Jake is a bad OC, it’s just not what I’d like to see NU doing.

WRs who aren’t Malik Washington: they’re still bad.

The down
My hopes for Sullivan helping the passing game: while the running game was improved by Sully, the passing game was still pretty awful. He missed several downfield opportunities that were there and ultimately the horses aren’t really there outside, especially when Gordon is dinged. If I never see Navarro targeted downfield again I’ll be okay with that. So much for hopes there.

Run fits late: Ew.

The wildcat: you’ve got a perfectly good drive going predicated on numbers advantages and option looks and you go and grind things down with the stupid wildcat. Just gross.

Health

Offense System, not Hillinski or Defense, is Cause of Worst Team in 27 Years

I am on my 27th year of season tickets. My opinions are based upon what I see at the games. As of right now, this is the worst NU team during those 27 years. I do not think NU will win another game this year. I am not a fan of JON or the Defense, but the problem with NU is Bajakian and Anderson. They blow. Is it due to their deficiencies or Fitz'? I don't know. But the offense is bad, bad, and bad.

My seats are row 61 in the east stands. Hillinski had some issues with accuracy, but he made some really beautiful throws. The major problem from my vantage point is that our receivers were just not open. So many of our routes involve throws to the sideline. There are no slants. Not too many crossing routes. Not many rubs routes. On one third and six, we took out our tight end and went five wide. NU was heading toward Welsh Ryan Arena. After the snap, NU abandoned the middle of the field allowing Miami to use the sideline to their advantage. There was no one open. Hilinski threw a low ball to the visitor sideline. Most would say it was a bad throw. I thought it was good throw given all of the bad options. This was not a singular events It happened all night, just as it occurred against SIU. There are few easy throws. Wide receivers are not open. Why? Scheme/coaching/talent. Frankly, why would come to this university that will not commit to the pass. The passing scheme/attack is terrible. If our upperclassmen cannot get separation, why not play young players? If it is not due to speed, it is due to the scheme. Our opponents, except Nebraska, seem to know exactly what we will run. All the receivers grow up playing in seven on seven leagues year round. They may require coaching on blocking, but it's not rocket science. Speed kills. Your fastest players should be on the field. Maybe we don't have speed. If so, that is function of the system we run which does not attract talent. I won't even go into the terrible running game. Bajakian has to go.

This is Kurt Anderson's fourth season coaching the offensive line. He has had 4 full off-seasons. Our offensive line did not control the line of scrimmage against Duke, SIU, or Miami. Any argument that he does not have his players is specious at best. He wants the road grader or whatever and doe snot have it. Frankly, very few teams do. It is his job to get them trained and ready. He has not. Skoronski came in polished and proven. I wonder how much outside training Slater received. I find this unit more disappointing than the defense. The running game is terrible. We ran for 76 against Duke. Kansas ran for 204 against Duke. We ran for 167 against SIU and 107 against Miami. These yardage results are complete ""itshows. Frankly, I think this is another example of a bad buddy hire. Anderson has to go.

The offense sucks. NU is Vanderbilt bad. Another poster stated a completely new system must be implemented. Frankly, I do not think these coaches can do it. Further, I certainly question if Fitz has the ability to make the changes.

Defense Snap Counts and a Few Grades, Week 6 vs WI

Keep doing this? Why not!

I believe PFF scored 69 offensive snaps for Wisconsin two weeks ago. Again, it shouldn't surprise you to know most of NU's defenders declined a bit across the board. I'll make not where it's different, but there are only a couple examples.

I'm diving the line into semi-arbitrary interior and edge again per PFF designations because we have so many linemen with snaps at this point.

EDGE Defender - This is the best position on the team, in PFF's opinion, as the Cats have four players with grades above the replacement level 60.
McLaughlin - 49 snaps, actually edging out Tomi this week. McLaughlin is still ranked at 67 overall after the tough week.
Tomi - 48 snaps. Still a 74 overall after slipping a couple points.
Johnson, R - 17 snaps, which is down big for him as he'd been up over 40 vs PSU. PFF liked his game and his overall and rush defense scores went up a couple poitns each in his limited time and he's sitting at 69 overall.
Pate - 20 snaps. 62 overall.
Hubbard - 15 snaps, only 3 vs the run and 12 vs the pass. Hubbard is the edge PFF hates at 54 overall, and it's been interesting to see his usage drop and drop and drop this year. NU simply does not allow him to appear vs the run, and he's got a terrible 49.1 PFF grade vs the run to show for it. He is capable of rushing the pass though, even after a bad week vs Wisco, with a 66 in pass rush still.

Interior Defender
O'Rourke - 50 snaps.
Butler - 31 snaps. PFF is grading him really, really badly, worst on the line at 47 overall. His composites are a bit higher though, so I believe his overall is impacted by penalties.
Holmes - 29 snaps. Dunno if he got dinged but it's a small snap count for him and PFF thinks he struggled quite a bit as his numbers fell a little more than most and he's barely above 60 for the year now.
Story - 10 snaps.
Gold - 4 snaps
Bastone - 2 snaps
Brendan Flakes - His first and only snap of the season.

Linebacker
Mueller
- 69 snaps. Disappointing he wasn't one of the ones rotated out.
Metz - 58 snaps. Another high week for him, partially forced by the hurt personnel in the secondary forcing Heard to play safety. Still, PFF calls Metz NU's best overall linebacker with an overall score of 70 on the season respectable play of 65 vs the rush and continuing to cover well at 74. Metz also has the most varied usage of all the linebackers: n his 204 snaps this season, 95 were classified as "box" snaps with a massive 42 classified as "d line" snaps. TBH, I don't know exactly what PFF uses to define exactly when a LB (or nickel/safety) goes from being tightly in the box to explicitly on the line), but obviously it implies they have him walked up more aggressively than other LBs. He's also been n coverage in the slot 64 times and even out wide 3 times. All the other LBs are almost always defined as in the box by PFF, so Metz really is the versitile guy at his heavy star role. His snaps vs Wisconsin mirrored these usages.
Gallagher - 57 snaps. I'm modestly interested what happened here to get Gallagher out of the game. Gallagher has caught his fair share of criticism around here, including from me, but he has been able to stop the run at times and PFF has actually graded him very well vs the run this year, reaching as high as the high 70s. His issue has been in coverage, where he's been terrible. Well that popped up vs Wisconsin as his grades across all phases collapsed pretty hard, basically the worst fall on the team. His coverage score in particular fell to an abysmal 47 with his overall just hanging on at 63, down several points. His run defense is still up at 72, but that fell a bunch of points too. He had a bad day and he's just painfully easy to pick on in the passing game. I'm sort of curious to see vs Maryland if Gallagher comes out playing. Did he get benched, or just dinged up vs Wisconsin?
Uihlein - 12 snaps in replacement of Gallagher. Graded well vs the run (67) but badly vs the pass (52).

Davis and Soares DNP

Safety/Nickel
Lewis - 69 snaps. I believe Lewis has only missed one defensive snap all year. He's bee the stalwart on NU's defense, and to PFF's eyes the best player in our backend at 66 overall (though not grading great in coverage). Lewis spent a whopping 44 snaps in the box vs Wisconsin, meaning NU very often had 3 LBs on the field plus Lewis up in the box. The first three games Lewis was much more used as a normal free safety and walked out into the slot, but for the last three games they've been stuffing him in the box more and more often. He's not a star, but Nu is using him in interesting ways and he's been steady.
Heard - 38 snaps. If Rod was on the field, he was in the box or in the slot almost entirely.
Wallace - 18 snaps.
Turner - 24 snaps. 13 in the box and 9 back at free safety. He was the msot frequent NU safety by far to be back at FS on a rate basis.

CB - All these guys pretty much always play out wide. None graded well (except Hollis vs the run, who is all the way up to 83 after the last couple of weeks).
Mitchell - 60 snaps.
Hollis - 56 snaps
Johnson, T - 22 snaps
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