Since most teams have played 7 to 9 games at this point, it seems reasonable to look at how they've been doing and where NU stands...
I'm listing the teams ratings using KenPom, Bart Torvik, Evan Miya and my own proxy for Sagarin, who stopped publishing his NCAAM ratings when USA Today stopped paying him.
The Torvik200 (on the far right) uses only games where the opponent is ranked in Torvik's top 200, ignoring the cupcakes.
I am using data downloaded for free from Bart Torvik's website. That guy is providing a real service to anyone interested in statistical analysis of college basketball.
I'd say the conference is not looking too good so far. Against Torvik's top 200 teams, the conference record is 30-35.
If you remove the 9 conference games, the Big Ten is 21-26 against the Top 200. That is not good.
Things can change, of course. Izzo has a lot of highly-regarded freshmen to work with. Indiana is playing better and should be a tournament team.
Purdue still holds the top spot.
Wisconsin, Illinois and Ohio State look to be pretty good. NU and the Hoosiers probably fit with those teams.
The rest will have to improve to make the NCAA field.
I'm listing the teams ratings using KenPom, Bart Torvik, Evan Miya and my own proxy for Sagarin, who stopped publishing his NCAAM ratings when USA Today stopped paying him.
The Torvik200 (on the far right) uses only games where the opponent is ranked in Torvik's top 200, ignoring the cupcakes.
Team | Record | KenPom | Torvik | Miya | PWB Sagarin | Torvik200 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Purdue | 8-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Wisconsin | 7-2 | 11 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 18 |
Illinois | 7-1 | 14 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 11 |
Ohio State | 8-1 | 23 | 26 | 21 | 29 | 9 |
Michigan State | 4-4 | 29 | 18 | 32 | 41 | 91 |
Iowa | 5-3 | 39 | 53 | 38 | 28 | 78 |
Northwestern | 6-1 | 50 | 42 | 59 | 42 | 27 |
Michigan | 4-5 | 54 | 55 | 46 | 65 | 99 |
Indiana | 7-1 | 65 | 54 | 49 | 78 | 43 |
Nebraska | 7-2 | 66 | 44 | 83 | 76 | 51 |
Rutgers | 5-3 | 78 | 76 | 77 | 85 | 192 |
Maryland | 5-4 | 74 | 73 | 70 | 134 | 253 |
Minnesota | 6-3 | 100 | 103 | 93 | 80 | 140 |
Penn State | 4-5 | 122 | 129 | 102 | 118 | 133 |
I am using data downloaded for free from Bart Torvik's website. That guy is providing a real service to anyone interested in statistical analysis of college basketball.
I'd say the conference is not looking too good so far. Against Torvik's top 200 teams, the conference record is 30-35.
If you remove the 9 conference games, the Big Ten is 21-26 against the Top 200. That is not good.
Things can change, of course. Izzo has a lot of highly-regarded freshmen to work with. Indiana is playing better and should be a tournament team.
Purdue still holds the top spot.
Wisconsin, Illinois and Ohio State look to be pretty good. NU and the Hoosiers probably fit with those teams.
The rest will have to improve to make the NCAA field.