Since MLB went to 2 WC teams in 2012, the following has occurred:
2012-2021 (excluding 2020)
LCS Participants - 9 #1 seeds, 8 #2 seeds, 10 #3 seeds, 9 WCs
WS Participants - 7 #1 seeds, 4 #2 seeds, 4 #3 seeds, 3 WCs
WS Winners - 4 #1 seeds, 1 #2 seed, 2 #3 seeds, 2 WCs
2022-2023
LCS Participants - 1 #1 seed, 2 #2 seeds, 0 #3 seeds, 3 WC1/WC2, 2 WC3
WS Participants - 1 #1 seed, 1 WC3, possibility of the #2 or WC2, possibility of the WC1 or WC3
WS Winners - 1 #1 seed
Clearly a small sample size here, but prior to the most recent expansion, it was pretty random who made the LCS in a given year, but top seeds were more likely to make it to and win the World Series if they reached the LCS.
With the results of last year and this year, maybe there's something to the 5-day layoff being a problem, but, for example, the Braves had a 4-day layoff in 2021 and they won the World Series, so maybe they're just psychologically fragile this year instead 🤷♂️