I’ll bite and fend off the arrows. This is sure to work up some.
There are 7 teams where we have a SIGNIFICANT talent disadvantage. Michigan, Purdue, Illinois, Michigan State, Indiana, Maryland and Ohio State. That’s 11 losses if teams play to form. The remaining 6 teams, Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Rutgers, Nebraska, and Penn State are more aligned with NU on talent. Slightly better or slightly worse. 9 games with these teams. Let’s say we go 6-3 which would be good considering how we have performed against them with these same players, You are looking at 6-12 as par. Now they probably will get an upset or two against the powers to end up 2-9 or something like that, but we’ll also lose to those peers teams probably more than I predicted at 6-3.
so I am going 6 minimum. I am hopeful for 8-9 and think that would be a helleva job with the roster we have. I expect 6-8, but that we bring out the wolves and you will get what most of you want.
Your turn. What number will it take to table the discussion for another season?
A 5 win season should lead to immediate dismissal for Collins. That would be a nightmare.
We play two games vs Illinois, MSU, Purdue, Minnesota, Penn St, Maryland
Home vs Wisconsin, Indiana, Rutgers
Away vs Iowa, Michigan, Ohio State
Rosy Scenario - Split with Maryland, Split with Illinois, Split with Michigan State, Beat Iowa, Beat Nebraska twice, Beat Minnesota twice, Beat Rutgers, Beat Penn State twice, Beat Wisconsin, Lose to Michigan, Lose to Purdue twice, Beat Indiana, Lose to Ohio State. 13 - 7.
Optimistic Scenario - Go 2-4 vs Maryland, Illinois and MSU, Go 5-1 vs Penn St, Minnesota and Nebraska, Beat Wisconsin, Rutgers and Indiana in Evanston, win at Iowa. 11 - 9.
Reasonable Scenario - Go 1-5 vs Maryland, Illinois and MSU, Go 5-1 vs Penn St, Minnesota and Nebraska, Beat 2 of these (Wisconsin, Rutgers and Indiana) in Evanston, win at Iowa. 9 - 11.
Pessimistic Scenario - Go 1-5 vs Maryland, Illinois and MSU, Go 4-2 vs Penn St, Minnesota and Nebraska, Beat 2 of these (Wisconsin, Rutgers and Indiana) in Evanston, lose at Iowa. 7 - 13.
Nightmare Scenario - Go 0-6 vs Maryland, Illinois and MSU, Go 4-2 vs Penn St, Minnesota and Nebraska, Beat 1 of these (Wisconsin, Rutgers and Indiana) in Evanston, lose at Iowa. 5 - 15.