Consider pricing elasticity or inelasticity. North Carolina is booming - in both economic and population regards - and the B1G would “own it” from a collegiate sports perspective for the next 50-100 years if they add UNC, NC State, Duke, and Wake Forest (in that order). This point is hard to debate.
What is the reason that the ACC has a lower payout than the B1G? Please explain. We don’t live in a static world, so I find your (and others’) claim that the B1G will maintain its dominant perch “just because” to be meritless. That is not realistic.
And who cares what Jay Bilas says. He’s just another ESPN talking head. If the B1G waits another decade to “make their move”, then the B1G could be screwed.
NC is not CA or TX in pop., much less PA.
NC's 10.44 million is a little more than the 10.08 mi for MI and if the B1G was forming today, don't be too sure if they take both schools from MI.
PA has over 13 mi, but it never made any sense for the B1G to add Pitt.
PSU already covered the demand for the state and Pitt didn't add enough to the table to warrant a share.
Having 2 schools in NC would be pushing it (UNC, alone, would carry the state), but doubt UNC goes anywhere without Dook; 3 schools becomes problematic and 4 schools make absolutely ZERO sense financially.
It would be one thing if NCST or Wake were like ND (that would actually be a case where adding a 3rd team within a state makes sense), but neither are anywhere close to that.
You really don't know why the ACC has a lower payout than the B1G? Lol
It's pretty simple.
The ACC is mostly BB schools and not FB schools (which is why schools like FSU and Clemson have long had wandering eyes), exacerbated further by too many schools in cities (where pro sports dominate) - BC, Pitt, GT, Miami.
And while Bilas may be a talking head, he's a talking head that's more tied in with the ACC than anyone else.
WVU and Temple?
The B12 barely wanted WVU and Temple brings zero to the table.
Already have Philly market covered by PSU and now the NJ portion of the greater Philly metro area is covered by RU.
The B1G already dominates the Mid-Atlantic region with PSU, RU and UMD, and the hedge against PSU possibly leaving for the ACC was the addition of RU and UMD (PSU no longer being an outskirt).
Cuse is a much better candidate than either of those 2 schools and even it probably doesn't make the cut financial-wise.