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The second big test in the B1G.
Nah. With Shannon, Illini would roll. Without him it will be a dog fight.Vassar69 says we should just cancel the game and send a Bundt cake
This is pretty much my thoughts on topic. It depends on who shows up.NU can defeat every team on its schedule - home or away.
Of course, they can also lose to any of them.
It’s so hard to predict one game, given shooting success variations. That being said, this is a very negative outlook. Are the Illini notably better than prior years, especially with TSJ out? We lost by 4 in C-U last year and we are generally as good a team as last year. Go Cats!Even without Shannon, Illinois is a terrible matchup for the Cats. Their perimeter quickness will be a nightmare for the Cats’ defense. Throw in the home court advantage, and I think it would be close to a miracle for the Cats to cover, though I hope I am wrong. For the Cats to compete, both Berry and Langborg need to have great shooting nights, which seems very unlikely considering how tough that is on the road and with Illinois’ defense, which will be amped up. Purdue’s reliance on Edey made them more one dimensional and gave NU a chance, and so I don’t think the home win against them is much of a comparable. Unfortunately, I think the Illini win by double digits (Ugh).
Vegas has made some decent money predicting games.It’s so hard to predict one game, given shooting success variations. That being said, this is a very negative outlook. Are the Illini notably better than prior years, especially with TSJ out? We lost by 4 in C-U last year and we are generally as good a team as last year. Go Cats!
They didn't look too good in Football when the Cats played this year.Vegas has made some decent money predicting games.
The future is uncertain. The people who set these lines at great risk and with great success for great sums of money have made a determination on the median point of possible futures. The computer analytics have also done so. All these points generally agree: Illinois is favored, but not overwhelmingly. NU is perhaps 2-1 dogs. Great opportunity to get a mild underdog win that would be a great #2 jewel to stick on the crown next to the Purdue game.Even without Shannon, Illinois is a terrible matchup for the Cats. Their perimeter quickness will be a nightmare for the Cats’ defense. Throw in the home court advantage, and I think it would be close to a miracle for the Cats to cover, though I hope I am wrong. For the Cats to compete, both Berry and Langborg need to have great shooting nights, which seems very unlikely considering how tough that is on the road and with Illinois’ defense, which will be amped up. Purdue’s reliance on Edey made them more one dimensional and gave NU a chance, and so I don’t think the home win against them is much of a comparable. Unfortunately, I think the Illini win by double digits (Ugh).
Money is made on the margin across many, many games. They get many wrong but more right. It’s not a one game prediction, which is much more uncertain.Vegas has made some decent money predicting games.
Vegas isn't attempting to predict the outcome of any specific game, they are identifying the median point of the broad distribution of all possible outcomes. Just like people who are idiotically angry when the weatherman says there is a 60% chance of rain and it's sunny, predicting individual outcomes every time is impossible and besides the point. In their case, all they have to be do is right on average, or at least as right as the betting public on average, and they make their 4.5%.Money is made on the margin across many, many games. They get many wrong but more right. It’s not a one game prediction, which is much more uncertain.
Nobody didThey didn't look too good in Football when the Cats played this year.
I did! I picked the cats in our family pool.Nobody did
It’s almost like you know how a book works…Money is made on the margin across many, many games. They get many wrong but more right. It’s not a one game prediction, which is much more uncertain.
Nope - that’s is the common misunderstanding. There isn’t a ton of money on every game so that Vegas can live in the middle. They play a longer game looking at the whole day. Which is why a game occasionally knocks them on their collective arses. Remember Tyson knocked out by Buster Nobody - that was my personal favorite. Nobody was betting Tyson with the huge odds. But a few guys took a flyer on somebody finally knocking Mike on his butt.Vegas isn't attempting to predict the outcome of any specific game, they are identifying the median point of the broad distribution of all possible outcomes. Just like people who are idiotically angry when the weatherman says there is a 60% chance of rain and it's sunny, predicting individual outcomes every time is impossible and besides the point. In their case, all they have to be do is right on average, or at least as right as the betting public on average, and they make their 4.5%.
Variance (of a single game vs. all games in a day / year / lifetime) is the key concept - I’ll let you determine if that resonates or not.Nope - that’s is the common misunderstanding. There isn’t a ton of money on every game so that Vegas can live in the middle. They play a longer game looking at the whole day. Which is why a game occasionally knocks them on their collective arses. Remember Tyson knocked out by Buster Nobody - that was my personal favorite. Nobody was betting Tyson with the huge odds. But a few guys took a flyer on somebody finally knocking Mike on his butt.
Good take, no doubt.Even without Shannon, Illinois is a terrible matchup for the Cats. Their perimeter quickness will be a nightmare for the Cats’ defense. Throw in the home court advantage, and I think it would be close to a miracle for the Cats to cover, though I hope I am wrong. For the Cats to compete, both Berry and Langborg need to have great shooting nights, which seems very unlikely considering how tough that is on the road and with Illinois’ defense, which will be amped up. Purdue’s reliance on Edey made them more one dimensional and gave NU a chance, and so I don’t think the home win against them is much of a comparable. Unfortunately, I think the Illini win by double digits (Ugh).
The Undie fans for the most part think they’ll clobber us. We’ll see. They will be back to let us know if they do.