SmellyCat said:

Sure. Here you go...

12/3​	at Iowa​	L​	-4.4​
12/6​	Illinois​	W​	-2.0​
1/2​	at Penn St.​	L​	-3.2​
1/5​	at Purdue​	L​	-4.7​
1/12​	Michigan St.​	W​	1.8​
1/16​	Maryland​	W​	0.0​
1/19​	at Michigan​	L​	-8.8​
1/22​	Indiana​	W​	5.7​
1/26​	at Illinois​	L​	-8.5​
1/29​	Rutgers​	W​	8.1​
2/1​	Wisconsin​	W​	2.4​
2/4​	USC​	W​	6.7​
2/8​	at Washington​	W​	3.9​
2/11​	at Oregon​	L​	-7.2​
2/16​	Nebraska​	W​	2.4​
2/20​	at Ohio St.​	L​	-3.2​
2/25​	at Minnesota​	W​	5.0​
2/28​	Iowa​	W​	3.6​
3/3​	UCLA​	L​	-0.4​
3/7​	at Maryland​	L​	-7.1​

The number in the fourth column is the expected difference between the two teams. The third column is either the expected result or the actual result if the game occurred (Illinois game was in bold because the expected result and actual result differed).

You'll note the Maryland game is 0.0. I gave the advantage to NU because they're at home but it can obviously go either way, as can most of these.

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gocatsgo2003 said:

On the flip side, Bielema and Illinois were pretty clearly milking the defensive substitution rules throughout the game and also seemed to have some questionable “injuries.” Not a great look for anyone involved, IMO.

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SmellyCat said:

I've made a spreadsheet with all of the games in the Big Ten coming up and Torvik's predictions. Since someone has to get a win and someone has to get a loss, rather than doing the statistically appropriate thing and giving a team 0.74 of a win if they have a 74% chance of winning, I just gave the win the to the team that was over 50% and the loss to the one that was under, just to get a taste of where everyone stands, how hard their schedules are, etc. (Note: When it was exactly 50%, I gave the win to the home team).

Here's how it looks as of today:
Michigan (18-2, 26-5)
UCLA (16-4, 25-6)
Illinois (15-5, 23-8)
Oregon (14-6, 25-6)
Maryland (14-6, 24-7)
Michigan State (13-7, 22-9)
Purdue (12-8, 20-11)
Iowa (12-8, 21-10)
Wisconsin (12-8, 22-9)
Northwestern (11-9, 20-11)
Nebraska (9-11, 19-12)
Penn Stata (9-11, 19-12)
Ohio State (8-12, 16-15)
Indiana (7-13, 16-15)
USC (5-15, 13-18)
Rutgers (3-17, 10-21)
Washington (1-19, 10-21)
Minnesota (1-19, 9-22)

Obviously there is a long way to go and these numbers will change as more games are played, but it was a fun little project for me.

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NUCat320 said:

I didn’t watch the game. Reading after the fact, sounds like Bielema was defending his players after Beamer called a sleazy, deceptive return play. Apparently USC simulated an “all clear, don’t touch it, peter peter peter peter” situation, then caught the kick and executed a throwback.

Bielema looked like a doof, but he defended his players. He didn’t look like a “Beckman falls down” doof. His players responded well to being defended, and got the g-d win. His players no doubt appreciated being defended. The best kind of coach is the one who passionately, unobjectively defends his players always. Bielema did it.

Beamer’s defense was “it’s legal, we cleared it with the officials before the game.” Meaning, technically legal but also kind of sh*tty. And the return only netted 25 yards.

The SEC is a bunch of chumps. It’s a shame Sullivan’s CHOKE JOB cost the B1G another win over those suckas.

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Deeringfish said:

Did you take into account extreme travel? As I recall, in football this year teams traveling coast to coast suffered for it. I should think that will be even worse in BB due to multiple games a week.

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olshin said:

0 shot Rutgers goes 3-17.

Not saying they go 17-3 either. Not as good as people expected - still an incomplete team.

Well I shouldn't say 0 shot. Of course there is. A slow start could snowball. But significantly higher chance they figure it out and upset some teams along the way.

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wildcatpn said:

Your boy Bielema is really a sleaze ball. He should be ashamed of his behavior today.

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NJCat said:

The astute reader will note NU is predicted to win every home game except UCLA, and only beat Minny and Washington on the road......crucial to maintain the home court advantage.

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SmellyCat said:

Sure. Here you go...

12/3​	at Iowa​	L​	-4.4​
12/6​	Illinois​	W​	-2.0​
1/2​	at Penn St.​	L​	-3.2​
1/5​	at Purdue​	L​	-4.7​
1/12​	Michigan St.​	W​	1.8​
1/16​	Maryland​	W​	0.0​
1/19​	at Michigan​	L​	-8.8​
1/22​	Indiana​	W​	5.7​
1/26​	at Illinois​	L​	-8.5​
1/29​	Rutgers​	W​	8.1​
2/1​	Wisconsin​	W​	2.4​
2/4​	USC​	W​	6.7​
2/8​	at Washington​	W​	3.9​
2/11​	at Oregon​	L​	-7.2​
2/16​	Nebraska​	W​	2.4​
2/20​	at Ohio St.​	L​	-3.2​
2/25​	at Minnesota​	W​	5.0​
2/28​	Iowa​	W​	3.6​
3/3​	UCLA​	L​	-0.4​
3/7​	at Maryland​	L​	-7.1​

The number in the fourth column is the expected difference between the two teams. The third column is either the expected result or the actual result if the game occurred (Illinois game was in bold because the expected result and actual result differed).

You'll note the Maryland game is 0.0. I gave the advantage to NU because they're at home but it can obviously go either way, as can most of these.

Click to expand...

NJCat said:

and one fantastic TE.

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