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Interesting. Looks like it projects 8.5 wins. Will be interesting to watch as the season goes on.
also notable that, whilst others show the West as a bunch of fairly evenly matched teams - Neb/Wis/NU/Minn/Iowa reasonably close, the probability of us winning swings wildly, based on what looks like either home field advantage (seriously?) or reputation (Wisc/Neb). They show a nearly 50% spread of win/likelihood for is Wisc as opposed to Minn.Interesting. Looks like it projects 8.5 wins. Will be interesting to watch as the season goes on.
Also shows us more likely to beat Iowa than ILL. Hmmm...
Aren't those both home games? /s
See? The nice thing about /s is that it isn't as in your face but rather just a subtle clue that more intelligent posters can pick up on.
It's cute, but doesn't really have much to do with intelligence. It's just a matter of whether you've read somewhere what /s means.
I tried it... don't like it.See? The nice thing about /s is that it isn't as in your face but rather just a subtle clue that more intelligent posters can pick up on.
Isn't home field generally figured to be 3 pts vs neutral field? Would that mean a 6 pt swing between home or away for closely matched teams? Games we are not favored in are all road games and we rare favored for the home games. About what one would expect based on teams being evenly matched.also notable that, whilst others show the West as a bunch of fairly evenly matched teams - Neb/Wis/NU/Minn/Iowa reasonably close, the probability of us winning swings wildly, based on what looks like either home field advantage (seriously?) or reputation (Wisc/Neb). They show a nearly 50% spread of win/likelihood for is Wisc as opposed to Minn.
Also shows us more likely to beat Iowa than ILL. Hmmm...
Cool site. It adjusted for the win and changes some other stats. Now it is showing 8.2 wins.
It shows our chance of winning out as 0%! As a scientist that's s categorically incorrect. If we are 4 and 0 there is always a chance that we could win out. The chance is of course minute right now, but it is indeed there. Bogus science on that number
It shows our chance of winning out as 0%! As a scientist that's s categorically incorrect. If we are 4 and 0 there is always a chance that we could win out. The chance is of course minute right now, but it is indeed there. Bogus science on that number
I actually reposted this so it would be closer to the tom. Another one I would not mind seeing pinned as it will be interesting to look at it after each game.To be fair, it says there is 0.0% chance. It could be 0.04%, but they are only going to one decimal so they rounded down.
That is interesting that Michigan is our toughest game left. losing to them would indicate we still could expect a 9 win season. I'll take it.Bump. Now showing 9 wins, with Michigan being the toughest game left.
It is at Nebraska. If it was here, it would likely have us favored.It is remarkable that it still shows us with less than 50% chance of beating Nebraska. I'm in no way saying it's a guaranteed win but they're looking awful.
It is at Nebraska. If it was here, it would likely have us favored.
They munched on South Alabama and survived Southern Mississippi, but as a Huskers fan, it DOES seem like they've been on a big downturn.Haven't the Cats won in Lincoln more recently than in Evanston?
I think there was a study that showed a drop off in the year following a coaching change. I think it is to be expected especially when you are replacing a 9 win a year coach.They munched on South Alabama and survived Southern Mississippi, but as a Huskers fan, it DOES seem like they've been on a big downturn.