The way Styre framed this is a lot more practically accurate, though. When you’re competing for at-large NCAA and NIT bids you’re really only competing against your own league, the other power 5 teams and a handful of mid-majors. Most of the 220 or so non-FBS schools that play D1 hoops are from 1-bid leagues and are not our “competitors” for bids. So those raw percentages are kinda bogus. Looking at it on a conference level is a lot more useful.
not true on "1-bid leagues" - almost every FBS league will have 2 teams playing in NCAA or NIT if not more. (again i don't think you really can compare the two (FB/BBALL) because they are so different but it seems the overall parity in basketball is much greater than it is in football and the percentage is way lower)
NIT projections 2019
a10 (2) - davidson, dayton
acc (1) - clemson
american (2) - witchita, memphis
asun - lipscomb regular season winner (lost touney champ)
big east (5) - st johns, creighton, xavier, georgetown, providence
big south (1) - campbell - regular season winner but not tourney
big ten (2) - IU, neb
big twelve (1) - UT
coloniol (1) - hofstra - regular season champ but not tourney
horizon (1) - wright st - regular season champ but not tourney
ivy (1) - hardvard - regular season champ but not tourney
mac (1) - toledo
meac (1) - norfolk st - regular season chmap but not tourney
mvc (1) - loyola - regular season champ but not tourney
mwc (1) - fresno,
nec (1) - st francis pa - regular season champ but not tourney
ovc (1) - belmont (won regular season, not tourney)
sec (1) - bama, south carolina, auburn (but they just won tourney so they are dancing)
southern (1) - 3 (unc geensboro, furman, etsu)
southland (1) - sam houstan st - regular season but not tourney
summit (1) - south dakota state - regular season champ not tourney
wcc (1) - san fran
admittedly - if you are last in your conference it doesn't matter
but the equivalent would be like 6-8 more bowl games. adding the top 2 FBS schools from each conference to bowl eligibility, and making the bowl requirements an 8-4 record instead of 6-6