Collins is already graded on a curve for Northwestern being different, though – it’s year 10 of his tenure, and they’ve been to one (very glorious) NCAA tournament. That doesn’t fly at basically any other power conference program. Sure, it can technically get worse. But it’s not unreasonable to aspire to be what, say, Rutgers has become under Pikiell. At this point, I think a coaching change is more likely to achieve that. And that doesn’t imply that Collins is a bad coach.
I don’t buy the argument that Dr. Gragg’s public comments substantially hampered recruiting. Collins is only signed through 2025 and has had five straight losing seasons…a prospect that can’t figure out he’s on the hot seat likely isn’t getting through admissions, anyway. And if Dr. Gragg had a heavy hand in forcing the changes on the coaching staff, then good on him.
Let’s not ignore the positives in place now that previous coaches haven’t enjoyed. University leadership seems more invested in athletic success than ever. There are state-of-the-art facilities, including a scoreboard that no longer looks like it carries Ms. Pac-Man. Of course there are still challenges. The Big Ten is tough, but it’s a lot tougher when you lose *four games* against the other four teams that missed the tourney, like last year. Admissions shrinks the talent pool and reduces the margin for error, but they’ve also let in a handful of transfers lately, and it didn’t seem like they were to blame for two 5-star recruits who were former ball boys going elsewhere. Each year I bet you could field multiple squads capable of earning at-large NCAA bids using only players who could get into Northwestern.
Maybe the curve can be a little less generous?