Well, he has assembled considerable defensive talent in an offensive league. But the QB question is a big one, not to mention the head coach hire. And that O-line is not up to par. Still, we made the playoffs one year and have another shot this year.
Verdict: B-
The Nagy scapegoating is baffling to me. His record is 25-14 and 7-0 against Detroit, Minnesota and as you mentioned has a great chance to make the playoffs in two of his first three years.
RE last night, his scheme got Mooney and Wimms free for sure fire TDs on multiple occasions. It should be noted that Aaron Donald was on a mission last night after being embarrassed last Sunday. That man can singlehandedly wreck a game plan when playing at his best.
Nagy is trying adjust his offense mid-season to a completely different signal caller. The guy is thoughtful and flexible (11 to 12 to 13 personel, adjusts the amount of play action, wide variety of blocking scheme to adjust to the line, RPO looks to single reads, Shotgun to I-formation). Perhaps, more importantly, his teams play hard for him and rarely show signs of giving up.
Currently, the biggest issue I see on offense (which is more predictive than defensive performance), is the line. When healthy, this unit is average, which inherently is not a bad thing. It can be helpful to think of that group as being as strong as its weakest link. Now that Daniels and Whitehair are injured, you are beginning to see signs of collapse. Without a functioning o-line you can't get anything done; just look at what has happened to Dallas and Philadelphia. Furthermore, it increases the likelihood a hot and cold QB like Foles will start freaking out under pressure which leads to some horrible decisions.
All this of can be attributed to a lack of young and cost controlled depth. Drafting Trubisky is obviously the biggest make Pace made, but he has continued to compound it by giving up picks to move up for guys like Miller and Montgomery. Sending Jacksonville a 4th for Foles was insane (I get that he wanted to "get his guy", but the Jaguars should have
given the Bears a pick to take that contract). That is not to say Pace is a bad at his job. I personally think he has a good eye for under the radar talent; similar to Jerry Angelo. He is also excellent at navigating the cap. Unfortunately, Pace’s New Orleans roots (sacrificing the present for the future) have likely come back to bite to him. In order to have the luxury of "kicking the can down the road", the Bears need to have the most important position on the field figured out ahead of time, the quarterback. Pace has failed miserably in this department despite putting together an otherwise solid NFL roster.
Personally, I'm comfortable giving Pace a few more seasons to try to fix this on the fly, but I'm not confident he’ll ultimately be successful. The Bears needs to hit several home runs in future drafts with a cash strapped team that is already behind the eight ball in capital.
PS - I feel like part of the blow back against Nagy is the neanderthal-ish nature of many Chicago sports fans/media. They can't understand why running into a stone wall is not efficient in 2020...it's how we've always done it! Run the damn ball, blah, blah, blah...