The reason Carmody's last team finished with 13 wins was due to injury to 2/3 best players. Crawford played 10 games that season. Swopshire played 24. They did not win after Swopshire was injured losing their last 7 which means that before his injury they were 13-12. That's like Boo going down 10 games into the season and Brooks going down after game 24.
The issue I have is that people keep revising the status of the program under Carmody downward - you did it in your post. Carmody's teams won 20, 20 and 19 games before the injury riddled last year. Then there is the complete message board generated recruiting issues (similar to the story now being painted - fairly or not - about the current AD which - other than the situation surrounding baseball - is literally people passing on stories they were told by their cousins' friends' little brother who does not work at NU but once overheard a conversation between two NU employees or people who could have been NU employees).
People ignore that NU's basketball program was a joke before Carmody. The facilities were a joke during the Carmody era. I can honestly say the only thing I miss about the old W-R is that in the last few years, they added spectacular scoreboards behind the basket. Other than that, it was awful. The lockerrooms were laughable until they were upgraded to just above laughable.
When Collins came in, the plans were already moving forward to improve both. I said back then that it would not be fair to judge Collins until his facilities were on par with the rest of the conference. That happened in 2018. That Collins made the NCAA before that is amazing.
That said, Collins had three really bad seasons as a coach prior to the last two. But, after he was told to win or else - instead of giving up, he stepped up and made changes throughout the program and we have all enjoyed the ride. Also, he just seems like a happier guy and I have been really impressed by how he has physically transformed in the last 12 months - dude has gotten fit.
So yeah, its not been all sunshine but it appears that NU is headed on the right path. All the same, success in the Big10 is fickle thing even for the elite (see Indiana). But as was correctly pointed out - this staff has done a fantastic job with talent identification, player develop and putting players in position to succeed in the last few years. Now they need to continue to develop the players on the roster and find players for the system they want to play and this next class (2025) might be the most important in the last few years.