With the final FT disparity in yesterday’s game ending up 46-8, there has been a lot posted on this subject already. I think most of the emphasis has been on the 46, and too little on the 8.
First of all there should be a little clarification on how free throws did or did not help Purdue’s offense. Of the 46 free throws, I think you have to not consider the deliberate fouls and technicals at the end of the game. In the last 32 seconds, after taking a 2 score lead, Purdue made 9 of 10 free throws. The 4-4 technicals clearly were irrelevant to the outcome, and the 5-6 on the “we have to fouls” had nothing to do with how the game was called up to that point. Taking that into consideration, Purdue was 20-36 and NU 6-8 with 32 seconds to go in OT.
A really significant point is that the Purdue FT % at that point was 56. Their effective FG percentage was 66. For almost the entire game, Purdue lost points (about 2 total) by shooting free throws instead of field goals. NU, on the other hand, shot 75% from the line versus an effective FG percentage of 67%. They gained a little less than half a point on the possessions where they went to the line.
Purdue really did not gain by going to the line, but the Cats lost points by not going more. While the clear missed call on Berry in OT is the most obvious, just a few calls that would have sent Buie to the line could have changed the outcome. The real mystery is why NU did not get a few more trips either as and ones or on drives to the basket.
The other key point to consider is the effect of Nicholson fouling out. I haven’t gone back and looked at the specific calls on him. It is possible they were all correct. If they weren’t, his absence based on the +/- hurt the Cats.
The long and short of it is that the disparity of fouls whistled in Purdue’s favor is that PU did not go to the line too often and hence beat the Cats, but that NU probably went too little.