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Way too early take

Boo, Lang and Preston will be gone. Berry and MN could also depart. In that case, we likely run out one of the newer guys from 23 or 24, BB, Mart and Hunger - no real PG.

I’m not convinced Clayton will be ready, if he ever becomes the starting PG. So I would think QB would be top portal focus with another big if MN follows Preston out.

But if Berry and MN stay, then simply a veteran QB is all we need next year.

I will be curious to see who gets the PT among Straus, Mullins, Barkley and frosh. They all appear to be wild cards and I have to think at least two will be hits of varying degrees.

Northwestern 'felt like a no-brainer' for new commit Jonathan Stevens Jr.



Check out our interview with Northwestern's inaugural member of its Class of 2025, Jonathan Stevens Jr.

3 Point Shooting Fun Stat

The Cats missed their first three 3 pointers against Illinois and their last three against OSU. In between, they went 21-31, almost 68%, over a stretch of about 65 minutes.

I don’t know which makes me happier: the fact that NU was consistently able to get great looks from beyond the arc or the fact that they converted at a rate that comes close to a decent free throw percentage. In the last two games, the Cats’ effective FG percentage has been video gamelike.

W-R: HOME court

Place looked electric on TV. Thought it might explode when Brooks buried that 3 on the four point play. Students just phenomenal. After the game on BTN, the analysts were talking about how W-R was, basically forever, a place where big opposing fan base could show up and always make it a neutral site atmosphere. No more. They said it’s a true home floor and it’s very hard to play in our building. This was always possible but it’s thrilling to see it come to fruition, and not just in a one-off season. Man, I hope we keep building this. It’s special.

FOOTBALL Met Coach Braun at the game tonight

Matt and I got a chance to chat with Coach Braun for a little while before the game tonight. He's here with his entire family, a bunch of coaches and some very large young men. They are sitting in section 208, if you're at the game.

But Braun was his usual friendly, easygoing self. He had his youngest daughter Blake in his arms as he talked to us, and his wife and other kids were standing behind him. He told us how much he appreciates what we do and how much it helps in recruiting. He's just a such a genuinely nice and gracious guy. He's awfully hard not to like.

It's going to be a good atmosphere tonight at Welsh-Ryan -- it's packed, and it's overwhelmingly Purple for a change. I don't know how much of an impact a basketball game will have on a football player's decision, but it can't hurt NU's chances.

Wildcats sound almost perfect to three-star OL Darrin Strey


Northwestern offered Darrin Strey, their fourth OL offer of the 2025 cycle so far, on Jan. 22. Here's our story on Strey, the offer and his thoughts on Northwestern so far.

NU tourney scenarios

I don’t read the professional prognostication sites or dive deep into the quad/strength of schedule stats. This is just my sense of how things look with 12 regular season B1G games remaining on the schedule. The Cats are 14-5/(5-3) thus far. Let’s consider three major scenarios, prior to the conference tournament…

Pessimistic:
4-2 at home
1-5 on the road
19-12/(10-10)
Verdict: BUBBLE, might need a win or two in the BTT to definitely get in

“Average:”
5-1 at home
2-4 on the road
21-10/(12-8)
Verdict: IN, 8/9 seed

Optimistic:
6-0 at home
2-4 on the road
(Or 5-1 and 3-3)
22-9/(13-7)
Verdict: IN, 6/7 seed

(Two other scenarios: A meltdown, losing 8+ remaining games, and falling off the bubble completely -OR- an epic finish with 14+ conference wins, landing a 5/6 seed)

How do we feel about this? Are these reasonable scenarios? Which is likeliest?

The beaten down NU fan in me can’t shake the meltdown or pessimistic options. My inner exuberant fan is rooting (not totally irrationally) for the optimistic or even epic options. But “average” seems about right. We honk one of the last 6 home games, but steal 1 or 2 on the road. The final B1G record that I’m not sure about is 11-9. I do think that gets us just off the bubble and in.

Take nothing for granted! Go ‘Cats!

+/- for the Prosecution of the Illini

Its pretty much a given that The Ball don't lie.
Everybody knows this.
So the question was "Should Terrence Shannon be playing in this game?"
And The Ball spoke its truth 5 times as it leapt from Shannon's hands into the cleaner hands of a Northwestern player.
I hope for Shannon's sake that The Ball wasn't ruling on his guilt in his upcoming felony trial. Because The Ball spoke decisively last night.

Here are the numbers...

PlayerMinutesNU PtsILL PtsRaw +/-Player AdjustGame +/-
Nicholson346858+10+5.84+7.84
Barnhizer449491+3+3.45+4.05
Preston82017+3+0.28+0.88
Buie428885+3+0.04+0.64
Clayton373+4-0.53+0.28
Berry337469+5-1.79-0.79
Martinelli204050-10-1.29-3.29
Langborg418982+7-6.00-4.60

Nobody played badly. Some guys just played really well. Without Berry or Buie or Nicholson or Barnhizer we would have certainly been beaten.
But Nicholson gets the game ball, statistically speaking.

A few things to point out... We played better defense when Nicholson was at the 5, allowing 58 points in 34 minutes (1.7 ppm). With Preston at the 5 we scored 2.5 ppm, but allowed 2.125 ppm.
With Martinelli at center (the small ball lineup) we got outscored 7-2 in 2 minutes in the middle of the 2nd half.
Thankfully we didn't see that lineup again until there was a minute left and we had an 8 point lead (and Nicholson fouled out).
That lineup makes a lot of sense when its free throw time, but not when you're outsized at all 5 positions!

Luke Hunger didn't play one second. Not sure what happened there.

Jordan Clayton played 3 minutes and we won those segments 7-3. He didn't put up any stats, but he breaks the string of negative results. That feels like progress.

Lineup-wise, the starters (Nicholson/Barnhizer/Berry/Langborg/Buie) played 23 minutes together and outscored their opponents 49-41.
This has been a recent and significant departure for Coach Collins. The starters are playing more minutes as a unit than anytime in the past several seasons.
23 minutes against Illinois (4 minutes of OT), 17 minutes against Nebraska, 18 minutes against Maryland. Before that? 11, 7, 8, 6, 9, 14, 11, 6, 5, 9, 14, 10, 8, 12.

Last year the starters played 20% of the minutes over the last 15 games. Thats 8 minutes per game.
The starters played the first 4 minutes of each half... and that was about it. Almost drove me insane.
The 2nd most-used specific lineup played 6 minutes per game (and Verhoeven was the center).
Our best lineup (Nicholson/Barnhizer/Berry/Audige/Buie) played a miserly 5 minutes a game.

In the disappointing 2021-22 season, over the last 15 games, the starters (Nance/Beran/Roper/Audige/Buie) played 20% of the minutes.
The 2nd most active lineup was Young/Beran/Roper/Audige/Buie who played a total of 22 minutes as a unit over 15 games.

In the last year of Miller Kopp, the starters played 8 minutes per game as a unit. The #2 lineup played 3 minutes per game.

This past offseason, I heard Chris Collins say "You want your 5 best players on the floor."
I had never heard him say that before, and it surprised me, but I think it reflected a serious change of mindset.
I have argued ad nauseum "You want your best lineups on the floor."
It seems we've made a hard shift in that direction - and hopefully not because the bench is shorter.

Of course, it helps when guys don't get whistled for cheap fouls. The refs can have a major (detrimental) impact on things.
When they let the guys play, the competition is better, the games are just much, much better.
Last night's game showed how that works.

Congratulations to the NU players and coaches on a huge victory!

We can talk about how Collins is using Nicholson differently some other time.
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