Looking ahead to Wednesday night's game against those aggrieved Boilers. Some items of interest:
Home vs Road splits - a few things jump out immediately:
Purdue is shooting 47.2% from 3 at home vs 35.3% on the road in conference play:
Braden Smith - 4/9 44.4% at home, 8/26 30.8% on the road
Lance Jones - 13/28 46.4% at home, 13/47 27.6% on the road
Fletcher Loyer - 6/11 54.5% at home, 14/29 48.3% on the road
Mason Gillis - 7/12 58.3% at home, 9/19 47.4% on the road
Rebounding - They rebound 43.3% of their missed shots at home against 35.6% on the road.
Shooting defense - Teams shoot 34% from 3 and 43% from 2 against them at home, vs 37.7% and 44.8% respectively on the road.
Turnovers - they commit about 2.5 fewer turnovers per game at home
Edey - Averages only 8 FTAs per game at home, against 12 FTAs on the road. 20.2 points/game, 14.2 boards/game, 2.2 blocks/game, 2 turnovers/game at home vs 27 ppg, 12.8 boards/game, 2.5 blocks/game, 2.8 turnovers/game on the road.
Our Home/Road splits:
We shoot 45.5% from 3 and 54.5% from 2 at home vs 38.8% and 47.9% respectively on the road.
Our shooting defense has been woeful on the road, allowing teams to shoot 43.5% from 3 and 58.3% from 2 compared to 36% and 48% respectively at home. Interestingly teams only shoot 3s 30.8% of the time against us when we're on the road vs 36.1% when we're at home, so we're due for a bit of positive regression there? 🤷♂️
We turn the ball over twice as much on the road as at home, though that's a bit skewed by the PSU game - 11.2 to 5.4.
In Game 1, Purdue was not able to use Trey Kaufmann-Renn as much as they would like due to foul trouble, and so their starters only played 8 minutes together getting outscored 17-16, compared to 10.5mpg in their last 5 games. The remaining starters ended up playing better with Gillis in his place anyway, outscoring us 17-12 in 7:17, however when Smith/Loyer/Gillis/Edey played with someone other than Jones, they were outscored 30-22 in 9:52.
Jones fouled out late in the second half, forcing them to play freshman Camden Heide the remainder of the game and Smith/Loyer subsequently committed 5 turnovers on their 13 possessions (38%!) during the rest of the game compared to 12 in the previous 67 (18%).
We were 20-32 on free throws (Hunger/Preston were 3-10), though 12 of them were in OT and 8 were when Purdue was desperation fouling. I will almost certainly guarantee that we won't see 20 FTAs in regulation, though opponents have averaged 17 FTAs/game at Purdue. We also made 50% of our 3s in Game 1, which I doubt will happen again.
Purdue managed to get two more possessions than us in the game, which fortunately wasn't an issue.
So yeah, not expecting a victory here, but if we want to stay in this game, we need to avoid getting down big early. In each of their 4 conference home games, Purdue has opened up double-digit leads in the first 10 minutes - up 18 on Iowa, 16 on Illinois, 23 on PSU and 14 on Michigan. None of them took the lead at any point in the game after, though Illinois did cut it to 3 at one point. Hopefully we can keep it close, as the pressure will build on Purdue if that happens.
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